MLB SEASON COUNTER 63.0%
Major League Baseball has now completed 63% of the season through Sunday July 31st. In our tour around the Main Event league standings, we’re examining the fantasy teams in the top seven places of the FOURTH group of 8 out of the 47 Main Event leagues. If you’re unfamiliar with the NFBC Main Event, imagine you’re on trial for your life, and you can either take the judge’s verdict or play fantasy baseball for your life and freedom. Well, in the NFBC Main Event you have a group of owners who would choose the latter (see below).
But these leagues are difficult. Sometimes they can feel a little one-sided. And you may be outnumbered at times…
I’ll be away for a break the next two weeks – so will try to do shorter updates instead!
Over the next few weeks, we will catch up with the 47 Main Event leagues on an individual basis. You’ll see the fantasy managers in the top 7 positions, along with their point total (AS OF SATURDAY MORNING), the change from two weeks ago (ACTUALLY A LITTLE LESS THAN TWO WEEKS AGO FROM BASED ON THE SUNDAY STATS) and the overall place. Also, I have brought back the “Win Estimate” – where I show the chances of finishing first for each team in the particular league. Remember, I can’t tell anyone how this is calculated, but I can tell you that it uses the same general principles as Philippe Dussault’s preseason player ranking.
1: Lawson And Order
Aaron Lawson has a solid lead in Main Event #1287 and is sitting pretty in 17th place overall. He’s up by 9.5 points now, and since Eric Price has fallen back by 3 points over the past two weeks he’s got a little bigger cushion. Glenn Schroter and Chris Read are not out of it though, and gained 2 and 5 points respectively over the past two weeks to close the gap. James Gabal is the big mover in this league – pushing his team total up by 8.5 points and Zack Puckett also gained 6 points so I don’t think they’re close to giving up. In addition, Kyle Brinkmann is only 20.5 points out of first even though he is back in 7th place. This league should see lots of movement over the season’s final two months.
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|Place||Main Event #1287||Points||Chg Last 2 Weeks||Place Overall||Win Estimate|
2: Drop the Mike
Mike Rothe is having a fine fantasy baseball campaign, and as of Saturday his team is 21st overall. But this league is definitely not salted away, as we have 5 teams – yes, 5 teams – in the top 100 overall. And all five of those teams have over 105 league points. Matt Modica is currently 2nd, and has gained 3.5 points over the past two weeks to move within 7 of the league lead. In addition, Steve Gregovich is 10.5 points back; Griffin Benger is 11 points behind; and Steven Heffernan is 11.5 points away from the top. Forest Price and Richard Dimondo are having nice seasons, but they have lots of teams to climb over and it will be pretty tough to do. It seems like our league winner will come from one of these top five.
|26||ONLINE 4.3 @7:00|
|Place||Main Event #1292||Points||Chg Last 2 Weeks||Place Overall||Win Estimate|
3: The Welcome Waggener
Scott Waggener is taking no prisoners this year – he is leading Main Event League #1294; he’s in cashing position in several other leagues; and his entry here is 6th overall. Wow. And it’s not like he’s competing with pushovers in this league. In second place is Toby Guevin, Bat Flip Crazy himself, who is solidly over 100 points. Also Dohn Terrell and Kristopher Reed are over the century mark. But unless Waggener starts giving points away, the rest of the league is in trouble. Also worth mentioning are Jarrett Greco, who has gained 10 points over the past two weeks; Stephen Fiore, who has 89 points, and Carl Kunda/Matt Anderson, who are tied for 7th with a respectable 79.5 points. But I’m not counting on any of these fantasy managers to be factors for first place in this league even so.
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|Place||Main Event #1294||Points||Chg Last 2 Weeks||Place Overall||Win Estimate|
|7th||TIE: Carl Kunda & Matt Anderson||79.5||-3.0 & -7.5||383 & 261||1% each|
4: Show Him the Kirves
For all intents and purposes, this seems like a two person race. Kevin Kirves has 114.5 points and is in 38th overall position; while Zach Bettencourt is 3.5 points back and in 48th overall. But I don’t think they have eliminated the pack as yet. Douglas Gruber is always dangerous; Richard Briskin is in 4th; Thomas Eshenfelder is 5th; and Andy Robinson is 6th. There are only 4.5 points separating third place through sixth place, and it is my expectation that at least one of them will charge up towards the top spot. Beau Reid has a little more work to do – as he is 28.5 points out of first place. But you have to like the positioning of Kirves and Bettencourt. Wait, you don’t like it? Well, I happen to like it!
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|Place||Main Event #1297||Points||Chg Last 2 Weeks||Place Overall||Win Estimate|
5: Dimondo In The Rough
You want a tight race? Well, let’s look at Main Event #1304. Richard Dimondo is leading this one, but there are 8.5 points between first and fifth. And four of those five teams have gained points over the past two weeks. We have David Redgrave 2 points back; Bryan Fitzgerald 3 points out (gaining 9.5 points over the past two weeks); Philippe Dussault 7 points from first (I heard he had a good fantasy season last year); and Patrick Raney 8 points back. What a scramble! Abdulaziz Madani is a former overall Main Event winner in 6th but he is 23.5 points out of first, and Anjan Chaklader is 24 points out himself. I’m just not confident they can pass all these other teams. But this league should nevertheless provide plenty of fireworks as the top five teams trade places down the stretch. Pass the popcorn!
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|Place||Main Event #1304||Points||Chg Last 2 Weeks||Place Overall||Win Estimate|
6: Petroziello on Patrol
OK, you thought that league was close? Take a look at in Main Event #1306! Seven teams – yes, seven teams – are within 9 points of first place – amazing! We have Dave Petroziello currently in the lead at 97 points; But right on his heels is David Miller at 95.5; Brian Slack at 90; Scott Waggener (remember him?) at 89.5 – just in front of three – count ‘em three – teams stacked up at 88 points. Michael Thompson; Donnie Braud and star player KC Cha are all tied up in 5th place. The biggest gainer of the group is Mr. Waggener with an 8.5-point move over the past two weeks, but Donnie Braud and KC Cha also are in plus territory over that period. This could be one of the most exciting league races in the Main Event this season in any case. No one should be counted out.
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|Place||Main Event #1306||Points||Chg Last 2 Weeks||Place Overall||Win Estimate|
|5th||TIE: Michael Thompson||88.0||-3.0||265||12%|
|6th||TIE: Donnie Braud||88.0||+3.0||290||12%|
|7th||TIE: KC Cha||88.0||+2.0||208||12%|
7: Hans Gruber Starred in Die Hard (A Christmas Movie)
Douglas Gruber has built up an 11-point lead in the Main Event #1318 as of Saturday. So Douglas has some breathing room. But with a bit of a logjam behind him, I think someone can challenge him for the top spot. We have JimJ Ferrari; Jody Ryan, Emmett Ruland (who gained 8.5 points over the past two weeks) and Alan Mitchell all bunched up in 2nd thorugh 5th , so I like their chances to make this a competitive race. And don’t completely eliminate Robert Cramutola or Bill Strickler in 6th and 7th either. Cramutola has a rather lofty position in the overall with another team, and Bill Strickler gained 16.5 points (yes, that is correct) over the past two weeks. It’s hard for me to say they have no chance with two full months left. Having said all that, you would have to bet on industry veteran Gruber to win this one, but I’ve learned not to close the book too soon.
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|Place||Main Event #1318||Points||Chg Last 2 Weeks||Place Overall||Win Estimate|
8: Madani But Not Crazy
Our last league review is Main Event #1319, and Abdulaziz Madani has a slight two-point margin over his nearest competitor Bob Casale. But right in contention is Aaron German, who surged 7.5 points over the past two weeks. A little further back we find excellent fantasy player Jeff Mitseff in 4th place – he’s certainly not out of it. With a little more work to do are Scott Feschuk (but he’s done some of that over the past two weeks by gaining 8 points); Steven Schweitzer and Michael Noakes. Feschuk looks like he has the best chance to crash the top four party out of these last three competitors. My crystal ball sees a back-and-forth affair in this league with Madani, Casale, German and Mitseff elbowing each other down the stretch.
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|Place||Main Event #1319||Points||Chg Last 2 Weeks||Place Overall||Win Estimate|
How Many Luis Garcias Are There, Anyway?
Luis Garcia, who pitches for the Padres, was the widest pickup on July 31st. He is NOT to be confused with the Luis Garcia that plays second base for the Nationals, or the one that pitches for the Astros OR the 21-year old Phillies shortstop prospect in High A OR the 18-year old shortstop in the Blue Jay system. Those who added him are hoping for saves while Taylor Rogers is given a time out by the Padres to contemplate why he should pitch better. Luis Garcia (San Diego) was added in 46 leagues for as high as $103 and as low as $3.
In addition, 9 other players were picked up in 23 or more leagues (see below). Other wide pickups were Jake McCarthey – who should get PT for Arizona; Pete Fairbanks – could he get regular saves in Tampa?; Jonathan Hernandez – he could close in Texas; and Paul DeJong – who is back and showing power in St. Louis.
|ADDED IN MOST MAIN EVENT LEAGUES||Leagues Added||Reason||Highest Winning Bid||Lowest Winning Bid|
|Luis Garcia||46||How many Luis Garcias are there||103||3|
|Jake McCarthy||45||Jake is a snake||76||1|
|Pete Fairbanks||44||Fair bid for saves||87||1|
|Jonathan Hernandez||41||Jonny be good||75||1|
|Paul DeJong||40||Hit the ball Paul||42||1|
|Bailey Falter||32||Don’t Falter Bailey||24||1|
|Janson Junk||31||Not a junkballer||39||1|
|Jake Fraley||31||He’s not frail||26||1|
|Matt Manning||24||Matt is a man||33||1|
|Scott Effross||23||Effross the boss||36||1|
The Wow Bid of the Week
The Main Event Wow Bid of the Week – goes to the largest bid of each FAAB period. This week that honor goes to a $277 bid for catcher Salvador Perez – as he attracted the highest bid In one of the 10 Main Event leagues where he was available. This high bid was $277, way over the $137 runner-up amount. Perez was won with 4 bids over $200, and all 10 winning amounts exceeded the $100 threshold.
7/31: Salvador Perez: $277
7/24: Jesus Luzardo $142
7/17: Esteury Ruiz $311
7/10: Jorge Soler $201
7/3: Vinnie Pasquantino $373
6/26: Jake Meyers $315
6/19: Riley Greene $361
6/12: Stephen Strasburg $227
6/5: Edward Cabrera $331
5/29 Ryan Helsley $312
5/22: Nolan Gorman $482 – #4 Wow Bid
5/15: George Kirby $557 – #2 Wow Bid
5/8: Brendan Rodgers $424
5/1: Eloy Jimenez $452
4/24: Jesse Winker $508 – #3 Wow Bid
4/17: Matt Manning $475 – #5 Wow Bid
4/10: Josh Lowe $613 – Highest Main Bid this Year
4/3: Matt Brash $244
The Century Club Has 8 Members This Week
Last week Jesus Luzardo was the only player that attracted a SUCCESSFUL bid over $100 during this FAAB run, but this week Main Event owners dug into their wallets and lifted 8 different players over the $100 mark. In addition, to Salvador Perez, Spencer Howard Chris Taylor, Jarred Kelenic, Ian Anderson, Luis Garcia, Michael Wacha and Frank Schwindel all were admitted as members of the club. Spencer Howard and Chris Taylor also made it to $200 – with the Howard bid winning $251 to $0.
|TEAM||BIDS OVER $100 – MAIN EVENT||Winning Bids over $100||Winning Bids over $200||Highest Winning Bid (FAAB $)|
Average Main Event Team FAAB Remaining: $177
For the 18 FAAB runs thus far, the average Main Event team has won 34.0 bids this season (holding at 1.89 per week) and spent $823.07 per team. This dollar amount is a little ahead of last season’s pace (now by 1.9%) when $808.09 was spent per team in the same time frame. This means that in 2022, the average team has $177 of FAAB left, but since approximately $57 per team went unspent last year as fantasy owners fell out of the running, the active FAAB dollars left per team is more likely around $120 or so.
|2022||TOTAL NUMBER OF MAIN EVENT WINNING BIDS||TOTAL FAAB DOLLARS SPENT MAIN EVENT||AVERAGE WINNING BID MAIN EVENT||AVERAGE AMOUNTS SPENT PER ME TEAM|
Colosseum Stats: Four Players from Three Weeks Ago…Results: 1 Good Add out of 4:
Again this season we’ll be keeping tabs on the 4 most added players from 3 weeks ago to see how some of the biggest free agent acquisitions have been doing for their fantasy owners. These are the players acquired in the most leagues on the 15th FAAB run this season – on 7/10 (stats are from 7/11 through 7/31):
- Nolan Jones: 11-for-46 .239 AVG; 1 HR; 0 SB – Jones average is underwhelming; and he has just one homer. He has produced fairly decent counting stats (9 runs scored and 9 RBI) but these are not enough to earn him the win. He seems to be playing every day so there is hope that he will shake out of this and produce more – for now this gladiator gets a PUSH though.
- Bryan Bello: 12.1 IP; 8.76 ERA; 2.27 WHIP; 11 K; 8 BB; 0 WINS – Bello has talent, but he has not produced thus far – LOSS.
- Reid Detmers: 18.0 IP; 1.50 ERA; 1.06 WHIP; 24 K; 8 BB; 1 WIN – Now THIS is more like it! Some great production in Detmers’ last three starts since his recall and he has emerged victorious!
- Brett Martin: 7.0 IP; 9.00 ERA; 2.29 WHIP; 6 K; 5 BB; 0 WINS; 1 SAVE – This one was painful – not only did he just get one save, he blew two others and hurt ratios along the way – thumbs down for this warrior.
- 21 thumbs up – 35% (full year 2021 24%)
- 14 side thumbs – 23% (full year 2021 27%)
- 25 thumbs down – 42% (full year 2021 49%)
The cumulative record of top adds in the Main Event is still ahead of 2021 through the first 18 FAAB periods, but we’ve been struggling a bit lately. Main Event owners have nevertheless been averaging more than one good add per week thus far – but the poor additions have been rising towards last year when it almost reached 50%.
Bobby C Predicts A Change of Seasons
|Overall Rank||Fantasy Owner||Overall Points||Points Behind|
|8||Robert Mirshak & Ian Kahn||5637.5||481.0|
|Average Top 20 Overall Score||5693.6|
Congratulations to Bob Catsiroumpas for holding the Number One overall position yet again (he’s been in first on 7/11, 7/18, 7/25 and now 8/1)! In addition to being a huge Montana State Bobcats fan; he now claims that a change of seasons is coming for his opponents – they should best be ready for whatever comes over the Great Wall in the North! However, beware Bob – your lead is down to just 13.5 points now!
Congratulations also to Robert Cramutola, Scott Jenstad, Ben Tidd and Ned Donohue, who occupy the 2nd-5th positions. Robert Cramutola has moved back into 2nd from 3rd and Ned Donohue is not only 5th – but 13th and 16th also! OMG! Scott Waggener is holed up in 6th; Kyle Brinkmann looks strong in 7th; the opera singers Robert Mirshak and Ian Kahn are coming on in 8th; the jingle singing Leonard Ringle is in 9th and – oh no – John Pausma is now in 10th, What a top group!
Philippe Dussault: 119th
Look – you have to feel for Philippe Dussault. Last year he was king of the world. This year he’s had some – um – issues. So a bunch of his league mates tried to cheer him up, sending a joint message via encrypted text (Phil’s preferred way of communicating these days). And this was Phil’s response:
Where are our 2022 Previous Overall Leaders?
Tim Lilly (4/11): Tim is back in 371st – but reports that he is no longer hard to reach – he is active on social media, in his fantasy baseball clubhouse with the guys, and is responding to all press inquiries. However, his team is still having issues, which he says are all “correctable given enough time and attention. In fact, the players on my fantasy team are like lilies, once you give them the proper support and encouragement, they will come through.” Nicely put, Tim. Nicely put.
Scott Fleming (4/18): Scott edged up to 40th from 42nd and is in contention in two leagues as of this week. And the BIG news is that he Edinboro Gazette is reporting that the Scottish Government has agreed to sponsor one of his teams as long as he changes his logo to the Scottish flag and wears a kilt to all public events.
Chris Read (4/25-5/8): Chris is holding at #56 (up from #57) this week and says he has not heard an answer regarding his application for work at Reader’s Digest Magazine – but he remains confident that he is the type of Read that Reader’s is looking for…
Tyler Jung (5/15): Tyler is at 59th overall, even though he STILL is on the way back from his “Welcome to the Jungle” tour in deepest, darkest Africa. He boarded a flight in Maputo in Mozambique; his plane was re-routed to Reykjavic; he says took a ferry to Greenland; and is about to board a trawler across the Labrador Sea bound for Goose Bay in Newfoundland. He says his fans shouldn’t worry – the internet beacon is strong in the hold of the ship…
Leonard Ringle (5/22-29): Leonard is in 9th place (up from 14th) and right in the thick of the overall race. He says he has SLIGHTLY altered the brand new jingle he composed which he will sing next March in Las Vegas when he wins first overall. You see, before this new song sounded very much like (but not exactly like) the Rolling Stones “Street Fighting Man.” (Leonard says it was only because the tune and the lyrics were the same though.) Now, it apparently is much more similar to “My Heart Will Go On” by Celine Dion.
Bob Cramutola (7/4): Bob and his partner Aaron Nola are fighting for 1st overall – right now they are 2nd just 13.5 points out of the lead – and are talking to Juan Soto’s agent about a long-term deal to play for their team – 10 years at $500 million Is on the table (they know this is just a fantasy team, don’t they?).
Mark Bendar (6/6; 6/20; 6/27): Mark is doing just fine in 14th overall but repeats that he has terminated his movie work with David Beckham. Beckham, for his part, went on local television to claim that he is “very sorry” and “wants to make amends.” It did appear that he had been crying recently…
League of Legends
In addition, we’ll follow the individual league races this season. It is no small feat to win a league championship in the Main Event regardless of a fantasy owner’s overall place, and the top three in each league earn a cash prize and deserve recognition. You can see the 47 leagues listed in the chart below – along with the top three in the standings as of Monday morning.
|NFBC League Number||LEADER||League Points||2nd PLACE||League Points||3rd PLACE||League Points|
|#934||Doug Moe||110.0||Clark Olson||106.5||Daniel Semsel||106.5|
|#935||Mark Srebro||110.5||Anthony Botzo||108.5||Scott Waggener||105.0|
|#943||Steven Weimer||122.0||Eno Sarris||103.5||Andrew Kopicz||102.5|
|#1026||John Pausma||114.0||Toby Guevin||112.5||Matthew Davis||112.0|
|#1027||Mike Duggan||97.5||Scott Jenstad||97.0||Rey Diaz||89.5|
|#1028||Ryan Atkins||116.5||Russel Wyatt||108.0||Anthony Gialde||103.0|
|#1029||Brian Slack||104.0||Mark Northan||103.0||Rusty Clark||99.0|
|#1030||Rob Silver||103.0||Zach Bettencourt||97.5||Thomas Warner||95.0|
|#1031||Scott Fleming||112.0||Daniel Prepas||104.0||Dustin Wagner||102.0|
|#1032||Mark Bendar||118.0||Shawn Childs||108.0||Tony DiVincenzo||101.5|
|#1034||Ned Donohue||129.5||Stephen Jupinka||122.5||Robert Cramutola||100.5|
|#1132||Eric Heberlig||111.0||Danny Bronski||101.5||Joe Green||98.5|
|#1143||James Anderson & Todd Whitestone||120.0||Mark Srebro||119.5||Rick Davis||108.0|
|#1192||Robert Cramutola||132.5||Steven Weimer||118.0||Eric Heberlig||104.5|
|#1221||Michael Crescenzi||112.0||Andrew Pelaez||108.0||Bradley Libros||106.0|
|#1226||Patrick Longood||112.5||Robert DiPietro||105.0||Michael Garcia||95.0|
|#1228||Charles Sommer||123.5||John Pausma||119.5||Mike Ballschmiede||119.0|
|#1233||Ned Donohue||128.0||Jon Stadtmeuller||108.5||Stephen Jupinka||105.5|
|#1236||Michael O’Brien||107.5||Daniel Prepas||100.0||Russell Withers||99.5|
|#1244||Douglas Gruber||108.0||Jordan Epping||106.5||Michael O’Brien||102.0|
|#1260||Kelly Uganski||120.0||Jeff Erickson||117.0||John Pausma||109.5|
|#1263||Kyle Brinkmann||125.0||Chris Uram||116.5||Eric Heberlig||112.0|
|#1264||Bill Macey||121.5||Vlad Sedler||111.5||Chris Liss||97.0|
|#1265||Bob Mazur||117.5||Tyler Jung||106.5||Joe Morrison||100.0|
|#1287||Aaron Lawson||116.5||Eric Price||106.5||Glenn Schroter||102.5|
|#1292||Mike Rothe||120.5||Matt Modica||107.0||Griffin Benger||105.5|
|#1294||Scott Waggener||132.5||Kristopher Reed||104.5||Toby Guevin||103.5|
|#1297||Kevin Kirves||118.5||Zach Bettencourt||112.5||TIE: Douglas Gruber & Richard Briskin||95.0|
|#1304||Bryan Fitzgerald||107.5||Richard Dimondo||106.5||Philippe Dussault||105.0|
|#1306||David Miller||98.5||Brian Slack||93.0||KC Cha||91.0|
|#1318||Douglas Gruber||106.0||JimJ Ferrari||100.0||TIE: Jody Ryan & Alan Mitchell||93.0|
|#1319||Abdulaziz Madani||110.0||TIE: Aaron German||107.0||TIE: Bob Casale||107.0|
|#1320||Robert Mirshak & Ian Kahn||125.0||Philippe Dussault||108.0||Daniel Baker||102.0|
|#1321||Mike Rothe||109.5||Bradley Beckman||105.0||Chris Fessler||104.5|
|#1322||Ned Donohue||126.0||Kellen Arneson||108.0||Jeff Mitseff||102.0|
|#1331||Bob Catsiroumpas||132.0||Bradley Libros||119.0||Robert DiPietro||114.5|
|#1332||Ben Tidd||129.5||Leonard Ringle||123.5||Chris Read||109.0|
|#1363||Scott Davis||109.5||Matthew McDonough||103.0||Kevin Grady||95.5|
|#1364||Al Williams||120.5||Stephen Jupinka||111.0||Brian Slack||110.0|
|#1365||Scott Jenstad||129.5||Craig Clarke||118.0||Matt Hurley||116.5|
|#1366||David Bone||112.5||Isaac Cockburn||99.5||Jeff Mitseff||98.5|
|#1371||John Pausma||119.5||Eric Heberlig||113.0||Jason Santeiu||112.5|
|#1402||Ray Butler||124.0||John Lyons||115.5||Shawn Childs||108.5|
|#1405||Zachary Waxman||115.5||Christopher Torres||107.0||Michael Lins||103.0|
|#1408||Les Travis||116.0||Eric Heberlig||107.5||Jody Ryan||98.5|
|#1511||Scott Fleming||110.0||Beau Reid||103.5||Clark Olson||103.0|
|#1524||TIE: Scott Waggener||112.0||TIE: Mark Srebro||112.0||Jamie Ickes||104.0|
|Average 1st Place Score||116.5||Average 2nd Place Score||108.5||Average 3rd Place Score||103.4|
There are multiple NFBC players who are in the top three places in more than one Main Event league. Extremely impressive!
- Ned Donohue – THREE 1st plus 5th AND 13th AND 16th overall – WOW
- Newly-inducted Hall-of-Famer (and 2018 Main Event Champ) John Pausma – two 1st one 2nd and one 3rd and 10th overall
- Eric Heberlig – one 1st two 2nd and two 3rd
- Mark Srebro – two 1st one 2nd
- Scott Waggener – two 1st and one 3rd
- Douglas Gruber – two 1st and one 3rd
- Fan Favorite Brian Slack – one 1st one 2nd and one 3rd
- Stephen Jupinka – two 2nd and one 3rd
- TWO FIRST PLACE – Mike Rothe and Scott Fleming
- Mark Srebro two 1st and one 3rd (plus 30th overall)
- ONE FIRST & ONE SECOND – Steven Weimer and Scott Jenstad
- ONE FIRST & ONE THIRD – Robert Cramutola and Michael O’Brien
- TWO SECOND – Zach Bettencourt & Daniel Prepas
- ONE SECOND AND ONE THIRD – Clark Olson, Toby Guevin, Bradley Libros, Robert DiPietro and Philippe Dussault
- TWO THIRD: Jody Ryan and Jeff Mitseff
GOOD LUCK TO ALL IN AUGUST – and remember to stay humble because…