A What You Need To Know Update
Hello SP Streamer readers! Doing this article plus my streaming article every morning is a bit tough for me to do so here is what I am going to do. I will be making this a weekly article that will come out on Wednesdays or Thursdays with a bunch of info from the last week of baseball. It should be just as valuable and helpful so hopefully, you still enjoy it! This is a new article and it will continue to evolve so please hang with me!
Exit Velocity Readings
*These Stats Are From 6/28 to 7/5*
Why are exit velocity readings critical? It’s proven that the harder a hitter hits the ball, the better the outcome. Of course, there is a bit more to it than that, like launch angle, but overall it is an important metric. Max exit velocity is also important to look at because it tends to show the power output a hitter can have. This is why we track these stats daily in this article.
Your top max exit velocity readings in the last week: Rowdy Tellez (116.9 MPH), Pete Alonso (116.5 MPH), Giancarlo Stanton (116.1 MPH), Shohei Ohtani (115.2 MPH), and Franchy Cordero (115.2 MPH).
Rowdy Tellez’s 116.9 MPH hit was the second-highest of his career and his highest since 2020. In this past week, Tellez is only hitting .172 but it comes with a 132 wRC+, 0.50 BABIP, a .448 ISO, and 20.8 Barrel%. Better days ahead!
In terms of overall exit velocity here are your leaders in the last week: Julio Rodriguez (98.8 MPH), Rowdy Tellez (98.1 MPH), Kyle Schwarber (97.6 MPH), Austin Riley (96.4 MPH), and Andrew Vaughn (96.4 MPH).
Young budding star Julio Rodriguez is making his case to be a top 10 pick next season. So far, he has 15 home runs, 21 stolen bases, and a .277 batting average. To get analytical, he has a 139 wRC+, 49.8 Hard Hit%, 14.3 Barrel%, and a .355 wOBA. Since June 1st though, he has an insane 172 wRC+, his strikeout rate has come down, his barrel rate went up, and his hard-hit rate is up as well. He is a beast.
Andrew Vaughn making this list isn’t very surprising. Since May 14th he is hitting nearly .300 with a 50.3% hard-hit rate but his power hasn’t really shown through and his barrel rate was weirdly low. Even in this last week, his 96.4 MPH EV comes with zero barrels. He is hitting the ball but just not lifting it enough, almost like Vlad Guerrero a couple of years ago. I feel like if he does lift it and everything clicks we could see a massive power surge.
Just missing this list at number six, in comes everyone’s favorite FAAB add, Vinnie Pasquantino. He had a 95.6 MPH average exit velocity with an 11.1 Barrel%, and 50% hard-hit rate within the last week. Pasquantino has shown phenomenal plate discipline this far and that means everything for rookies.
Streaking At The Right Time
Just when everyone was finally out on Justin Turner he decides to remind them why he was drafted in the first place. In the last week, no one has had a higher wRC+ than Justin Turner. Nobody. In fact, in the last two weeks, Turner has had three home runs with 10 RBI, a .250 ISO, a .386 batting average, and a 187 wRC+. Hopefully, Justin Turner turns it around moving forward and we start seeing the hitter we all imagined when we drafted him.
It has taken some time for Luis Urias to get going since coming back from his injury where he missed the first month of baseball. In the past two weeks, he has started to look like himself, the one we saw break out last season. Since June 22nd he is hitting .265 with three home runs and a 132 wRC+. Urias continues to have a low SwStr% and is starting to be more aggressive at the plate which is something I think he needed.
The first month and a half was really rough for Rhys Hoskins. He only hit one home run while hitting .236 with a .213 ISO. The good news is since 5/17 Hoskins has 11 home runs while hitting .265 with a .259 ISO. We all know the power is there and it’s nice to see him produce. In the last week, he is tied for the lead with four home runs while his strikeout rate and walk rate are an exact match.
Swings and Misses
*These Stats Are From 6/28 to 7/5*
Why are swings and misses important? For pitchers, this can show their talent since the best pitchers in the world always have a knack for creating whiffs. The higher the whiff rate, the higher the strikeout rate. It’s also essential to view this every day to spot outliers. If an unusual name pops up on the list it could mean one of two things, either they are evolving as a pitcher or they just had a lucky day. This could help you catch emerging pitchers before anyone else does if it is the former. Here are the swings and misses leaders for the last five days (this way we don’t get two starters involved):
- Robbie Ray – 27
- Spencer Strider – 24
- Cristian Javier – 23
- Eric Lauer – 23
- Blake Snell – 22
- Carlos Carrasco – 20
- Framber Valdez – 19
- Dylan Cease – 19
- Brandon Woodruff – 19
- Patrick Sandoval/Sandy Alcantara/Tony Gonsolin/Shane McClanahan – 18
How about Spencer Strider? The dude is something else. Since June 1st he has started in six games and posted a 2.90 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and a 36.8 K%. His slider is just flat-out amazing it has a -4 wRC+ with a 22.8 SwStr%. Not to mention he has a legit three-pitch mix with all three of them having above-average whiff rates. It’s no wonder he has the highest swing and miss rate out of any pitcher in the last month and a half.
Speaking of high swing and miss rates, Dylan Cease is above all. He comes in third in terms of percentage but in terms of total whiffs, Cease is King since June 1st. He has had 112 of them within this time frame. I’m sure many will argue with me but he has to be the fourth-best starting pitcher in the league right now after Burnes, Cole, and McClanahan.
Pitchers On A Roll Or Stuck On A Hill
Let’s start with who is stuck on a hill. Tarik Skubal in the last three weeks has been brutal, so brutal that he has the highest ERA in the last three weeks. One or two bad starts? Fine. Four bad starts is a trend and that’s what we are seeing with Skubal. Technically Skubal actually hasn’t been good for seven starts because since June 1st he has a 6.32 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a 4.19 SIERA. He obviously isn’t this bad but clearly, not the stud people thought they had in May. I’m just glad I don’t have to enter the box of shame anymore.
As for on a roll we have to take a glance at Josh Winkowski. In five starts this season he has a 3.12 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. The WHIP isn’t great but it’s likely to stay on the higher side due to the type of pitcher he is, a weak contact one. In the last week, he took on the Cubs in Chicago and pitched six innings where he allowed just one run with six strikeouts. Impressively, Winkowski hasn’t allowed a home run since his first start of the season and only five barrels in his first five starts overall. I think he is crafty and should continue to get those ground balls and have some success.