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MLB SEASON COUNTER: 25.3%

Major League Baseball completed its first quarter of the season as through Sunday May 22nd it has played 25.3% of the season. As the 705 NFBC Main Event owners assess their teams, they often somewhat overlook a roto category. It seems that RBIs should “take care of themselves” if you have good hitting. However, that raises the question of when should fantasy owners drop underperforming power hitters that are not providing RBIs? Luckily, the group N’Sync says they’ve discovered the answer to that problem. They say that all you have to do is repeat the message below while dancing with a lot of hand reaching gestures:

Hey, hey

RBI bye bye, bye bye

Bye bye

I’m doing this tonight

You’re probably gonna start a fight

I know this can’t be right

Hey baby come on

I loved you endlessly

When you weren’t there for me

So now it’s time to leave and make it alone

I sent a reply to them to ask an important question: OK, N’Sync, you’re advising dropping underperformers – but WHICH ones should we hold onto? This seems important – we don’t want to drop someone valuable, right? The reply was quick but not all that illuminating:

I don’t want to be your fool in this game for two

So I’m leaving you behind

(RBI bye bye)

I don’t want to make it tough

(Make it tough)

But I’ve had enough

And it ain’t no lie

Maybe these rock stars are just not that helpful generally?

The MLB Environment: Improvement Shown

Through Sunday 5/22, hitters have been scoring just 4.18 MLB runs per game, well below the 4.53 in 2021. However, this runs per game has improved from the 4.08 average two weeks ago and has edged up from last week’s 4.16 average. Perhaps the warmer weather is helping (or someone has adjusted the thermostat in the humidors?). This has been built by two main factors (see chart below):

  • Batting average is at .236 (.232 two weeks ago and .234 last week – but still well down from .244 last year).
  • Home runs are now 0.97 (from 1.22 in 2021 but up from 0.95 last week).
MLB HITTING STATS RUNS/GAME HOME RUNS BATTING AVERAGE
2022 YTD 4.18 0.97 0.236
2021 4.53 1.22 0.244
2020 4.65 1.28 0.245
2019 4.83 1.39 0.252
2018 4.65 1.15 0.248
2017 4.65 1.26 0.255

As we’ve stated previously, MLB strikeouts have been down and fell slightly further – from 8.37 to 8.36 per game, but walks dropped by a larger amount (3.21 per game down to 3.16 per game). This has fueled a fairly sizeable drop in MLB WHIP to 1.247 (the lowest MLB WHIP since 1968 when baseball responded by lowering the height of the pitcher’s mound). At least the ball is being put in play a bit more but it seems that the surge in strikeouts from 2018-2021 is past us.

MLB PITCHING STATS MLB WHIP STRIKEOUTS RECORDED WALKS ALLOWED K:BB RATIO
2022 YTD 1.24 8.36 3.16 2.65
2021 1.30 8.68 3.25 2.67
2020 1.33 8.68 3.39 2.56
2019 1.33 8.81 3.27 2.69
2018 1.30 8.48 3.32 2.55
2017 1.34 8.25 3.26 2.53

RBIs: 80% Target 2022 = 968

No matter how insightful you find the information from N’Sync on how to manage the RBI category, there HAS been less scoring in MLB this season. So it would make sense that the 80% RBI target to hit in the Main Event is lower than in 2021. In the 2019 Main Event, fantasy owners needed a RBI total of 1105 to get 80% of the overall points available in this category. In 2021 (skipping 2020 because of the shortened season), that number decreased to 1041 (about 5.8% lower). Thus far in 2022, a Main Event team would need 245 RBIs to get 80% of the points available. So straight-lining this figure to produce the target for the full season, the Main Event 80% RBI level would be 968 – or 7.0% lower than even 2021 (and 12.4% lower than 2019).

MLB RBI LEADERS

But who are the hitters that are providing the most help in RBIs even in this reduced environment? In the chart below you can see – through Friday 5/20 – the 23 hitters most plating the most runs for their teams. Jose Ramirez, Pete Alonso and Giancarlo Stanton are the 7-week leaders in this category – significantly ahead of the pack with impressive totals of 37, 36, and 35 respectively. All three had Main Event ADPs in the top 100, but Stanton was available at 94 in most leagues. However, the biggest bargains on this list were Rowdy Tellez (349) and Anthony RIzzo (181) who have been strong contributors in RBIs in the early going. Additional run producers that were available after pick 100 were C.J. Cron (124), Justin Turner (147), Ty France (150), Jared Walsh (118), and Adolis Garcia (171). In fact, 7 of the top 20 RBI leaders as of May 22nd were drafted after pick 100. Also – there are three Yankees (Stanton, Judge and Rizzo) on the list, two Angels (Ohtani, and Walsh with Trout just off the top 20), two Cardinals (Goldschmidt and Arenado), and two Dodgers (Trea and Justin Turner), so four teams account for 9 of the 20 top RBI batters.

RBI RANK THRU 5/21 PITCHER RBI HOME RUNS MAIN EVENT ADP
1 Jose Ramirez 37 9 4
2 Pete Alonso 36 10 49
3 Giancarlo Stanton 35 11 94
4 tie Rowdy Tellez 32 9 349
4 tie C.J. Cron 32 11 124
6 Nolan Arenado 31 9 72
7 Aaron Judge 30 14 36
8 tie Justin Turner 29 4 147
8 tie Paul Goldschmidt 29 6 49
10 tie Trea Turner 28 2 1
10 tie Ty France 28 6 150
10 tie Trevor Story 28 6 36
13 tie Shohei Ohtani 27 8 8
13 tie Jazz Chisholm 27 7 80
13 tie Bryce Harper 27 9 9
16 tie Kyle Tucker 26 7 12
16 tie Jared Walsh 26 8 118
18 tie Adolis Garcia 25 6 171
18 tie Manny Machado 25 8 22
18 tie Anthony Rizzo 25 10 181

Visiting the Gore Store

Nolan Gorman reached the majors on Saturday, causing a great deal of interest, as he was largely unavailable before this week. The question going into last night’s FAAB was “Do Main Event owners buy into the skills enough to make him the biggest target this week?” The answer? “Absolutely.” Gorman was the leader in the 8th FAAB run – attracting big dollars at the cash register. He was added in 46 of 47 leagues (because he was already owned in one league), as everyone has him pegged as a power-hitting middle infielder that can help their squad. In addition, 9 other players were picked up in 25 or more leagues (see below). Other wide pickups were Johnny Cueto, Tucker Davidson, and Kyle Freeland.

Attracting winning bids over $100 were starting pitchers Johnny Cueto – who pitched very well in his first outing for the White Sox, and Matthew Liberatore, who had a rockier first outing for the Cardinals.

ADDED IN MOST MAIN EVENT LEAGUES Leagues Added Reason Highest Winning Bid Lowest Winning Bid
Nolan Gorman 46 Power Hitting 2B 482 101
Johnny Cueto 46 Great start for CHW 124 6
Tucker Davidson 37 Two starts next week 79 1
Kyle Freeland 37 at PIT and at WAS 58 1
Justin Steele 35 at CIN this week 61 1
Christopher Morel 31 Getting PT for Cubs 78 1
Kole Calhoun 30 Hitting Bombs 70 12
Matt Barnes 29 Back as closer? 91 12
Brady Singer 27 Pitching well for KC 207 37
Matthew Liberatore 27 Rookie SP for STL 161 1

 The Wow Bid of the Week

One of our favorite features – the Main Event Wow Bid of the Week – is back and goes to the largest bid of each FAAB period. This week that honor goes to a $482 bid for Cardinal second baseman Nolan Gorman, which easily beat the runner-up bid of $203 (Gorman was also won with 3 bids over $400; 10 between $300-399; and 19 more from $200-299).

The Century Club Has 19 Members This Week

There were 19 players that attracted SUCCESSFUL bids over $100 during this FAAB run (down from 21 last week), and just 5 of those players had at least one winning bid over $200 (the same as last week – see chart below). Players attracting the most bids over $100 were the previously mentioned Gorman (46), Brady Singer (8), Mitch Garver (3) and Kyle Gibson and Matthew Liberatore (2). There were 75 successful bids over $100 (down from 125) and 37 successful bids over $200 (down from 66 as Gorman led the way – see chart below):

TEAM BIDS OVER $100 – MAIN EVENT Winning Bids over $100 Winning Bids over $200 Highest Winning Bid (FAAB $)
SEA Nolan Gorman 46 32 557
AZ Clay Holmes 1 1 427
CIN Mackenzie Gore 1 1 279
DET Jonathan Villar 1 1 251
OAK Brady Singer 8 2 234
LAA Brendan Donovan 1 0 188
MIN Andrew McCutchen 1 0 180
CIN MJ Melendez 1 0 179
NYY Matthew Liberatore 2 0 173
STL Jeffrey Springs 1 0 157
BOS Alec Bohm 1 0 141
BAL Mitch Garver 3 0 141
MIA Aaron Ashby 1 0 141
SD Kyle Gibson 2 0 128
SD Cal Quantrill 1 0 127
BOS Johnny Cueto 1 0 121
NYY Roansy Contreras 1 0 117
TB Jurickson Profar 1 0 105
CHC Mike Yastrzemski 1 0 103
75 37

For the 8 FAAB runs thus far, the average Main Event team has won 15.4 bids this season (1.93 per week) and spent $464.98 per team. This dollar amount is just 1.9% lower than last year when $474.11 was spent per team in the first 8 FAAB. This means that in 2022, the average team has $535 of FAAB left, so the resources are dwindling a bit. The drop-off in spending is happening for sure.

2022 TOTAL NUMBER OF MAIN EVENT WINNING BIDS TOTAL FAAB DOLLARS SPENT MAIN EVENT AVERAGE WINNING BID MAIN EVENT AVERAGE AMOUNTS SPENT PER ME TEAM
1 403 $7,962 $19.76 $11.29
2 1035 $36,124 $34.90 $51.24
3 1445 $46,026 $31.85 $65.29
4 1431 $44,112 $30.83 $62.57
5 1367 $37,945 $27.76 $53.82
6 1300 $50,280 $38.68 $71.32
7 1580 $58,965 $37.32 $83.64
8 1527 $46,398 $30.39 $65.81
TOTAL 10088 $327,812 $32.50 $464.98

Colosseum Stats: Four Players from Three Weeks Ago…Results: 1 Good Add out of 4:

Again this season we’ll be keeping tabs on the 4 most added players from 3 weeks ago to see how some of the biggest free agent acquisitions have been doing for their fantasy owners. These are the players acquired in the most leagues on the third FAAB run this season – on 4/24 (stats are from 5/1 through 5/22):

  • Travis Demeritte: 10-for-62 .161 AVG; 1 HR; 0 SB – Demeritte started out strong but has faded, and didn’t produce much for his fantasy owners in the first three weeks. LOSS.
  • Josh Winder: 19.0 IP; 18:6 K-BB; 2 WINS; 3.79 ERA; 1.37 WHIP – Winder started out well and did provide two wins, but now he’s on the IL with a sore shoulder. He did reasonably well in his first stint, so even with questions about his future role after the injury heals, I rate this as a PUSH.
  • Yadiel Hernandez: 21-for-63 .333 AVG; 2 HR; 1 SB – his batting average is very nice, and he’s still playing regularly. With 9 runs scored and 13 RBIs, he’s done what was needed. I think Hernandez earns a WIN as a 15-team pickup.
  • Taylor Walls: 5-for-62 .081 AVG; 0 HR; 1 SB P. Nope – this one just hasn’t worked. Walls is a great defender but just isn’t hitting. This gladiator goes down to defeat. LOSS.

2022 RECORD:

  • 8 thumbs up – 40% (full year 2021 24%)
  • 5 side thumbs – 25% (full year 2021 27%)
  • 7 thumbs down – 35% (full year 2021 49%)

The record took a little bit of a hit this week, but still is ahead of 2021. At least in the first 8 FAAB periods, Main Event owners are finding one gem per week thus far. It’s encouraging to the emperor, that’s for sure!

Ringle is Bi-Lingual

Overall Rank: Thru 4/17 Fantasy Owner Overall Points Points Behind
1 Leonard Ringle 6037.0 0.0
2 Tyler Jung 5974.0 63.0
3 Bob Catsiroumpas 5892.0 145.0
4 Mark Bendar 5889.0 148.0
5 Jason Senteiu 5665.5 371.5
6 Douglas Gruber 5589.0 448.0
7 Douglas Gruber 5573.5 463.5
8 Matthew McDonough 5530.5 506.5
9 Robert Mirshak 5507.5 529.5
10 Dustin Wagner 5475.5 561.5
11 Scott Jenstad 5464.0 573.0
12 Ned Donohue 5436.0 601.0
13 Rob Silver 5432.0 605.0
14 Mark Srebro 5338.5 698.5
15 Craig Clarke 5332.0 705.0
16 Anthony Botzo 5306.5 730.5
17 Christopher Vaccaro 5292.5 744.5
18 Clark Olson 5273.5 763.5
19 Steve Gregovich 5247.0 790.0
20 Zach Bettencourt 5246.5 790.5
Average Top 20 Overall Score 5525.1

Congratulations to Leonard Ringle for taking over the Number One position from famed explorer Tyler Jung! Leonard has 3 Main Event entries, and this one is crushing thus far! Because Leonard speaks many languages, he focused his first two draft picks on players who don’t use English as their primary language themselves. Therefore, he started out with Japanese-speaking Shohei Ohtani from slot number 10 in his Main (see below for the first ten picks from his Stoop Ball I entry), and followed that up with Spanish-speaking Manny Machado. He also picked up the two hottest rookies in Bobby Witt (3rd round) and Julio Rodriguez (7th round). Beautiful job, Leonard!

Congratulations also to Tyler Jung, Bob Catsiroumpas, Mark Bendar and Jason Santeiu – who all are in the top five! Also, Douglas Gruber is in 6th and 7th – wow). All of these Top 20 owners are in outstanding shape.

Stoop Ball I: Top Ten Picks

Shohei Ohtani

Manny Machado

Bobby Witt

Dylan Cease

Taylor Rogers

Alek Manoah

Julio Rodriguez

Rhys Hoskins

Jake Cronenworth

Yoan Moncada

Philippe Dussault: Avoiding Limelight

Philippe Dussault – hounded by reporters after his recent brush with an official inquiry from the NFBC – fell to 35th place overall. Even though the inquiry was dismissed without prejudice, reporters have been camped out in front of his home in Terrebonne, Quebec – bothering Phil with pointed questions about the incident and whether Canada should really celebrate the Queen of England’s birthday on Victoria Day. Thus far Phil has ignored them and is wearing sunglasses and a hat as he takes out the garbage to avoid the paparazzi.

Where are our 2022 Previous Overall Leaders?

Tim Lilly (4/11): Tim has dropped to 159th place, probably because he is focused on building a garden consisting only of lilies. He is said to be researching the best fertilizer for lilies, and has written that he believes they need lots of water. But Tim – what about your Main Event team????

Scott Fleming (4/18): Still doing well at 61st overall, Scott is back in the U.S. after being deported from Flanders (the Dutch-speaking northern portion of Belgium). He reports that he has written a “strongly-worded” letter to King Willem-Alexander (the actual King of the Netherlands) and believes this will get him back in good standing very soon.

Chris Read (4/25-5/8): Chris had an impressive three-week run at the top, and is confident that even though he has dropped to 39th place, he will be back in front very soon. Nevertheless, he has overseen groundbreaking for the new Chris Read Library (Where Reading is Fun!) in Reading, Pennsylvania. In addition, he is planning a tour around the country to complain about Audible Books, because it “really isn’t reading.”

Tyler Jung (5/15): Tyler is in 2nd place, which is outstanding. However, he has taken his “Welcome to the Jungle” moniker to heart and is planning a trip to deepest, darkest Africa to explore it on his own. When asked if they had internet service in this location, Tyler replied “I really don’t need any more FAAB pickups. My fantasy team is fine as it is right now.” OK, Tyler, if you say so…

League of Legends

In addition, we’ll follow the individual league races this season. It is no small feat to win a league championship in the Main Event regardless of a fantasy owner’s overall place, and the top three in each league earn a cash prize and deserve recognition. You can see the 47 leagues listed in the chart below – along with the top three in the standings as of Monday morning.

NFBC League Number LEADER League Points 2nd PLACE League Points 3rd PLACE League Points
#934 Doug Moe 114.5 Jason Anthony 105.5 Clark Olson 101.5
#935 Anthony Botzo 119.5 Mark Srebro 110.5 Scott Waggener 106.0
#943 Andrew Kopicz 118.5 TIE: Alan Mitchell 94.0 TIE: Douglas Gruber 94.0
#1026 John Pausma 109.5 Toby Guevin 105.5 Errol Thompson 94.5
#1027 Scott Jenstad 106.0 Michael Govier 102.5 Jason Gill 97.0
#1028 Jacob Halusker 114.0 Zachary Waxman 97.5 Gene McCaffrey 96.5
#1029 Mark Northan 102.5 TIE: Matt Modica 95.0 TIE: Rusty Clark 95.0
#1030 Rob Silver 119.0 Clark Olson 107.0 Zach Bettencourt 99.5
#1031 Dustin Wagner 119.5 Daniel Prepas 106.0 Matthew Anderson 101.0
#1032 Mark Bendar 129.5 Ronny Mor 98.0 Keith Tonsager 95.5
#1034 Ned Donohue 123.0 Robert Cramutola 113.0 Rian Lange 100.5
#1132 Eric Heberlig 118.5 Roland Pinto 105.0 TIE: Danny Bronski & Scott Masel 87.0
#1143 Mark Srebro 106.5 James Anderson & Todd Whitestone 105.5 Rick Davis 100.0
#1192 Robert Cramutola 115.0 Christopher Vaccaro 113.5 TIE: Mark Dillon & Michael Amarante 101.0
#1221 Mike Duggan 107.5 Marc Fleisher 106.5 Eric Heberlig 100.5
#1226 Michael Garcia 114.0 Patrick Longood 98.5 Robert DiPietro 97.5
#1228 Charles Sommer 113.0 Jordan Epping 101.5 John Pausma 98.5
#1233 Gregg Martin 106.0 Jon Stadtmueller 96.0 Stephen Jupinka 94.0
#1236 Clark Olson 115.5 Michael O’Brien 108.5 TIE: Russell Withers & Daniel Prepas 103.0
#1244 Douglas Gruber 124.0 Jordan Epping 101.5 Kent Stermon 91.5
#1260 Jason Aberli 113.5 Vince Clemente 106.5 Kelly Uganski 103.0
#1263 Michael Brophy 107.0 Eric Heberlig 106.5 Kyle Brinkmann 98.0
#1264 Vlad Sedler 114.5 Brian Edwards 109.0 Bill Macey 102.5
#1265 Tyler Jung 127.5 Joe Morrison 114.0 Bob Mazur 105.0
#1287 Eric Heberlig 101.0 Jason Perkins 99.0 Aaron Lawson 96.5
#1292 Steve Gregovich 118.0 Matt Modica 104.0 Chris Fessler 103.0
#1294 Scott Waggener 97.5 Chris Oliver 95.5 TIE: Matthew Anderson & Jarett Greco 94.5
#1297 Zach Bettencourt 117.5 Richard Briskin 114.0 Douglas Gruber 98.5
#1304 David Redgrave 108.5 Jeff Campbell 105.5 Herb Eroh 104.5
#1306 David Miller 112.5 Brian Slack 98.0 Jeff Mitseff 95.5
#1318 Douglas Gruber 121.0 JimJ Ferrari 104.5 Alan Mitchell 98.5
#1319 Jeff Mitseff 98.0 TIE: Jon Stadtmueller 96.0 TIE: Jeremy La Tour 96.0
#1320 Robert Mirshak 120.5 Philippe Dussault 108.5 Richard Dimondo 101.5
#1321 Chris Fessler 110.0 Andrew Sullivan 103.0 Aaron Jones 93.0
#1322 Jeff Mitseff 118.5 Mike Cameron 107.5 Kellen Arneson 107.0
#1331 Bob Catsiroumpas 125.0 Robert DiPietro 109.5 Bradley Libros 98.5
#1332 Leonard Ringle 127.0 Chris Read 109.5 Ben Tidd 108.0
#1363 Matthew McDonough 115.5 Paul Hong 107.5 Brian Magnani 104.0
#1364 Al Williams 99.0 Marc Winokur 98.5 Brian Slack 97.0
#1365 Craig Clarke 118.5 Scott Jenstad 117.0 Scott Waggener 115.5
#1366 Isaac Cockburn 111.5 Jeff Mitseff 100.0 David Bone 91.5
#1371 Jason Santeiu 120.0 Hunter Dorbandt 102.0 P McD 97.5
#1402 Ray Butler 115.0 Shawn Childs 96.0 Chris Avey 92.5
#1405 Zachary Waxman 109.5 Michael Secor 98.0 Michael Lins 95.5
#1408 Eric Heberlig 103.5 Pat Tremaglio 95.0 Jody Ryan 93.0
#1511 Scott Fleming 103.0 Ian Hubbard 102.5 Rusty Clark 100.0
#1524 Mark Srebro 120.5 Scott Waggener 104.5 Kareem Yostos 97.0
Average 1st Place Score 113.8 Average 2nd Place Score 103.9 Average 3rd Place Score 98.7

There are multiple NFBC players who are in the top three places in more than one Main Event league. Even at this early stage, that is impressive. Shout-outs:

  • Scott Waggener (one 1st, one 2nd and two 3rd)
  • Jeff Mitseff (two 1st one 2nd and one 3rd)
  • My podcast partner Robert DiPietro, one 2nd and one 3rd
  • The dominator – Douglas Gruber with two 1st and a 3rd – and 6th and 7th overall
  • Crowd favorite Brian Slack with a 2nd and 3rd place
  • Fantasy Baseball/Football expert Mark Srebro – two 1st, one 2nd

and 14th overall

  • Newly-inducted Hall-of-Famer (and 2018 Main Event Champ) John Pausma – a 1st and a 3rd
  • 2016 Main Event Champ Rob Silver – 1st in his league, 13th overall, and as he told me – the Launch Angle podcast is a collaborative effort with everyone contributing but Van Lee is the key member, not him. But he appreciates Jeff Zimmerman’s work and everyone gets along very well.
  • Eric Heberlig – three 1st one 2nd and one 3rd
  • Baseball writer and podcaster Vlad Sedler (first place in his league and 36th overall)
  • Dustin Wagner – 1st in his league and 10th overall
  • Podcaster for Rotowire and all-around smart guy Scott Jenstad (one 1st and one 2nd and 11th overall)
  • Clark Olson (one 1st, one 2nd and one 3rd)
  • Robert Cramutola (one 1st and one 2nd)
  • Excellent fantasy player Matt Modica (two 2nd)
  • Chris Fessler (one 1st and one 3rd)
  • Matt Anderson (two 3rd)
  • Jordan Epping (two 2nd)
  • Jon Stadtmueller (two 2nd)

Great job by all!

 

Good luck to all fantasy baseball owners, and for now – bye, bye, bye!!

 

Todd Whitestone

Todd Whitestone

Writer for SPstreamer.com focusing on the NFBC Main Event

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