Happy Monday all! Yesterday we did not have our What You Need To Know article and this could happen from time to time on a Sunday. The reason being is that I do a huge chart update Sunday mornings for our discord and sometimes it takes a long time to do, which means I run out of time to do this. I apologize! You can indeed expect this article to be out Monday-Saturday no matter what!
In case you were wondering this is the chart we run for our members – it shows a full week out with pitcher rankings for the entire week! It is pretty cool and super useful. You also get our streamer chart color-coordinated as well. If you want to join our membership you can click on the link at the bottom of the page!
Exit Velocity Readings
Why are exit velocity readings important? It’s a proven fact that the harder a hitter hits the ball the better the outcome. Of course, there is a bit more to it than that, like launch angle, but overall it is an important metric to look at. Max exit velocity is also important to look at because it tends to show the power output a hitter can have. This is why we track both of these stats every day in this article.
Your top max exit velocity readings from yesterday, in order: Randy Arozarena, Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber, Jorge Soler, and David Peralta.
It’s nice to see the struggling Randy Arozarena hit a ball 114.1 MPH, especially because it is a new career-high! He hasn’t displayed much power this season so maybe we start to see it shine through.
The young J.D. Martinez has been hitting rather well this year as he is hitting .305 with a .906 OPS. He had three hard-hit balls yesterday with a home run and four RBI.
Mr. Jesse Winker had three hard-hit balls as he went three for five with two RBI and a double in yesterday’s performance. Winker has been struggling big time and we all knew the power would dip in that new ballpark of his. We just didn’t expect this. I think we see him hitting the ball better in the future though.
Tim Anderson had four hard-hit balls yesterday all over 96 MPH as he went three for five with one run and an RBI. Anderson is just so consistent and I feel like every draft season he is underrated.
Jordan Luplow’s power made an appearance yesterday as he had three hits over 104 MPH which is super impressive. He ended his day with two hits and two home runs in four at-bats.
C.J. Cron continues to rake as he had four hard-hit balls yesterday as he smashed another home run on the season. The dude is lit. Yea…I said it.
The Nationals need to keep playing Yadiel Hernandez. Yesterday he went three for four with two runs, two doubles, and five RBI. He is hitting .340 on the season with a .877 OPS, 150 wRC+, and 14.0 Barrel%. They sit him against left-handed pitchers but I think that should stop. If he is catching a bunch of right-handed pitchers though, he is a fantastic option for your team.
Swings and Misses:
Why are swings and misses important? For pitchers, this can show their talent since the best pitchers in the world always have a knack for creating whiffs. The higher the whiff rate, the higher the strikeout rate. It’s also important to view this every day so we can spot outliers. If an unusual name pops up on the list it could mean one of two things, either they are evolving as a pitcher or they just had a lucky day. If it is the former this could help you catch emerging pitchers before anyone else does.
- Kevin Gausman – 22
- Max Scherzer – 22
- Corbin Burnes – 21
- Joe Musgrove – 16
- Walker Buehler – 14
So this is fun.
Ryan Helsley is a monster. He pitched two innings yesterday recording four strikeouts and a save. On the season he has pitched 8.1 innings not allowing a walk and just one hit. He has a 61.5 K% and a 27.0 SwStr%, two god-like numbers. If he is on your wire he is well worth the add because even if he doesn’t give you saves he is going to give you fantastic ratios.
Here Comes Correa
Carlos Correa had a bit of a slow start to the season but he has started to hit the ball well as of late. In his last 12 games, he is hitting .333 with seven RBI and a 129 wRC+. In his last five games, he is hitting .455 with a 194 wRC+ and a .478 OBP. The power hasn’t shown up yet as he only has one home run on the season but yesterday he did have three hard-hit balls all over 100 MPH. The power is certainly there and I would expect to see some home runs coming soon.
I know a lot of people lost their patience with Mitch Keller already but I think he is still a hold. Keller always struggled with control and command and the key to his starts are always the walks. So far he has been up and down, in one game he will walk two batters, and in the next game, he walks none. But he always has a successful start when he doesn’t walk anyone. Yesterday Keller pitched through six innings allowing one earned run with five strikeouts. He had zero walks. I feel like he could be close to putting it all together but only time will tell.
Do We Buy Crawford?
In yesterday’s game J.P. Crawford went two for three with two runs and a home run. He had three hard-hit balls and is now hitting .372 on the season with a 1.090 OPS. So the question is, is this for real? At this point in the season, I like to look at plate discipline and exit velocity.
Crawford has four home runs on the season, nearly half of his total from last year. His barrel rate has doubled from 2.4% to 5.7% and his hard-hit rate is up five points. The 5.7% barrel rate isn’t anything spectacular though, it is just better than the year prior. For instance, Hosmer had the same barrel rate last season and hit 12 home runs so perhaps Crawford can see double-digits for the first time in his career in terms of power but it isn’t anything groundbreaking.
As for the batting average, we have to look at his plate discipline. Crawford isn’t necessarily making more contact compared to last season but he is being more selective and patient at the plate. In doing so he is chasing less often and hitting better quality pitches. Obviously, .372 isn’t sustainable but his expected batting average shows him hitting .332 which means he did earn the stellar batting average so far. He hit .273 last season so maybe we see him around .290 this season, which can be really helpful since batting average is way down this season.
Velocity Update On Luis Severino
We mentioned in a previous What You Need To Know that through Luis Severino’s first four starts his fastball velocity dipped in each one. Yesterday he brought it back up to 96.1 MPH which was great to see. Compared to his 94.9 MPH average the start before this is a major difference. Hopefully Severino can be consistent with his velocity moving forward.