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According to Mick Jagger: “I Can’t Get No BATisfaction!”

There have been 12 days of baseball since the Major League Baseball opened on April 7th and fantasy owners now have not just a drafted fantasy team but also had their team placed into league standings. Even though it’s exciting to see the standings in real-time, the 705 NFBC Main Event owners, like many fantasy baseball players, are likely disappointed with their team’s hitting production to date. To borrow from (noted fantasy baseball enthusiast) Mick Jagger, they are likely to be less than fully satisfied with the batting production thus far.

I can’t get no BATisfaction

I can’t get no BATisfaction

‘Cause I try, and I try, and I try, and I try

I can’t get no, I can’t get no…

To illustrate this point, through Sunday 4/18, MLB has played 5.3% of the season and despite hitters “trying and trying,” they have been MUCH less productive than pitchers in the early going. Runs per game were already sharply down in 2021 to 4.53, but in the first few days of 2022 scoring has slumped another 8.2% to 4.16 even from that reduced baseline. What are the contributing factors to this reduction in offense?

  • Batting average is down 4.5% to .233 (from .244 last season).
  • More importantly, homers are off a remarkable 18.1% from 2021 – from 1.22 per game to 1.00 per game (and the 1.22 level was already much lower than the 2019 high-water mark of 1.39 per game).

Could this be an outgrowth of pitchers ahead of hitters without the normal length of spring training? It doesn’t seem likely, as usually the pitchers to take more time to ramp up. A more likely culprit could be the expanded rosters and the ability of managers to use multiple relievers until that shifts back in a couple of weeks. Or it could be that MLB Is messing with the baseball again or even that the humidors, now installed in all 30 ballparks, are causing the balls to stay in the yard much more frequently.

In any case, until and unless this changes, we may have to think in terms of reaching for a lower bar for our hitting targets this season. And on the other side of the coin, you might think that your pitching stats are great, but they may not be good enough in this new environment. We’ll follow along to see if this changes and report back, but for the time being, try to – “no, oh, no, no, no, hey, hey, hey; that’s what I say; get some BATisfaction” in this new .233 batting average era!

MLB STATS RUNS/GAME HOME RUNS BATTING AVERAGE
2022 YTD 4.16 1.00 0.233
2021 4.53 1.22 0.244
2020 4.65 1.28 0.245
2019 4.83 1.39 0.252
2018 4.65 1.15 0.248
2017 4.65 1.26 0.255

 

Ward of the State

In the third FAAB period held on Sunday, April 18th, ten players were picked up in 31 or more leagues (see below) with Taylor Ward targeted in all 47 leagues as he appears to be a regular Angel In The Outfield. Paul Blackburn and Owen Miller were both added in 46 leagues, as Blackburn is showcasing improved skills and Miller seems to be firmly entrenched as a Guardian In The Infield (see what I did there? He’s not an Angel in the Outfield, he’s a Guardian…oh never mind…).

Others in the top ten widest pickups that also attracted at least one winning bid over $100 were Santiago Espinal, Jake Diekman, and Josh Staumont – with the latter two adds aimed at providing assistance in the elusive save category.

ADDED IN MOST MAIN EVENT LEAGUES Leagues Added Reason Highest Winning Bid Lowest Winning Bid
Taylor Ward 47 Joe Maddens says he’s a regular 219 23
Paul Blackburn 46 Throwing well for OAK 224 3
Owen Miller 46 Regular PT for CLE 137 27
Santiago Espinal 37 Regular TOR 2B 101 5
Maikel Franco 37 Regular PT for WAS 67 1
Jake Diekman 33 Possible BOS Closer 185 1
David Peterson 33 In NYM Rotation 99 1
Josh Staumont 32 In KC Save Mix 143 1
Oscar Mercado 31 Regular PT for CLE 81 3
Jonah Heim 31 2 HR last 3 games 77 1

 

The Wow Bid of the Week

One of our favorite features – the Main Event Wow Bid of the Week – is back and goes to the largest bid of each FAAB period. This week that honor goes to a $475 bid for Detroit pitcher Matt Manning. Wait a minute! Manning was lifted early from his last start with a shoulder issue. Even though he claims he is OK, $475 still seems dicey. The runner-up bid in this case was um – there WAS no other bid in this league. So let’s just presume this was an overbid by our winner. In his defense, Manning was added in 6 other leagues, with winning bids ranging from $79 to $5, so other owners did see the value – just not $475 worth of value…

The Century Club Has 27 Members This Week

There were 27 players that attracted SUCCESSFUL bids over $100 during this FAAB run (and 74 individual bids), and 8 of those players had at least one winning bid over $200 (with 10 total bids over $200) – Matt Manning, Camilo Doval, Grayson Rodriguez, MacKenzie Gore, Hansel Robles, Paul Blackburn, Taylor Ward, and Jack Flaherty. Players attracting the most bids over $100 were Hector Neris with 12 and Taylor Ward with 10.

TEAM BIDS OVER $100 – MAIN EVENT Winning Bids over $100 Winning Bids over $200 Highest Winning Bid (FAAB $)
DET Matt Manning 1 1 475
SF Camilo Doval 1 1 287
BAL Grayson Rodriguez 1 1 251
SD MacKenzie Gore 6 1 250
BOS Hansel Robles 3 2 225
OAK Paul Blackburn 3 1 224
LAA Taylor Ward 10 2 219
STL Jack Flaherty 1 1 213
BOA Jake Diekman 1 0 185
LAA Michael Lorenzen 6 0 177
MIN Jhoan Duran 2 0 177
HOU Hector Neris 12 0 173
CHC Jonathan Villar 1 0 170
SF Joc Pederson 3 0 158
MIN Emilio Pagan 1 0 149
KC Josh Staumont 5 0 143
NYY Aaron Hicks 2 0 142
CLE Owen Miller 3 0 137
OAK Cole Irvin 2 0 134
SD Eric Hosmer 1 0 126
CHC Nick Madrigal 1 0 121
PHI Alec Bohm 1 0 119
WAS Erick Fedde 1 0 112
AZ Josh Rojas 1 0 111
CIN Lucas Sims 1 0 109
BAL Jorge Lopez 2 0 103
TOR Santiago Espinal 2 0 101
74 10

 

For the three FAAB runs thus far, the average Main Event team has won 4.1 bids this season (roughly 1.4 per week) and spent $127.82 per team. This is lower than last year when about $183 was spent per team in the first three FAAB runs. This means that in 2022, the average team still has $872 of FAAB left, so there is a lot of firepower available for future key free agents.

2022 TOTAL NUMBER OF MAIN EVENT WINNING BIDS TOTAL FAAB DOLLARS SPENT MAIN EVENT AVERAGE WINNING BID MAIN EVENT AVERAGE AMOUNTS SPENT PER ME TEAM
1 403 $7,962 $19.76 $11.29
2 1035 $36,124 $34.90 $51.24
3 1445 $46,026 $31.85 $65.29
TOTAL 2883 $90,112 $31.26 $127.82

 

We’ll be following the Main Event chase all season in this space, and showing the overall leader board as it shifts throughout the season. First, here are the top 20 in the overall standings after on the morning of April 12th.

Overall Rank: Thru 4/17 Fantasy Owner Overall Points Points Behind NFBC League Number #
1 Scott Fleming 6031.5 0.0 1511
2 Beau Reid 5877.5 154.0 1511
3 Douglas Gruber 5856.5 175.0 1244
4 Chris Fessler 5777.0 254.5 1292
5 Chris Read 5752.5 279.0 1332
6 Richard Briskin 5688.0 343.5 1297
7 Brian Slack 5559.5 472.0 1371
8 Mike Massotto 5498.5 533.0 1226
9 Gary Allen 5490.5 541.0 1320
10 Tyler Jung 5446.0 585.5 1265
11 Christopher Cosley 5423.5 608.0 1260
12 Jason Gill 5387.5 644.0 1027
13 Doug Moe 5385.0 646.5 934
14 William McAleer 5368.0 663.5 1331
15 Vince Clemente 5300.5 731.0 1260
16 Bradley Beckman 5278.5 753.0 1321
17 Keith Tonsager 5263.0 768.5 1032
18 Jason Aberli 5258.0 773.5 1260
19 Chris Uram 5254.5 777.0 1263
20 Greg Lathrop 5250.0 781.5 1143
Average Top 20 Overall Score 5507.3

 

The Flemish Region

Congratulations to Scott Fleming for securing the overall lead! Not only that, but Scott has just three Main Event entries, and apparently that’s more than enough! Kudos also go out to Beau Reid (who is in the same league as Scott Fleming), Douglas Gruber, Chris Fessler and Chris Read for their top five early season positions. Certainly none of the top 20 can feel secure about their position after just four days, but it is also true that it’s much more preferable to get off to a fast start than to stumble out of the gate. All of these 20 can feel good about posting a nice solid beginning.

OMG: Philippe Dussault in 32nd Place

Uh oh, just when I thought it was safe to give Phil a hard time, he’s climbing out of the depths of the standings and seems primed to re-assume his normal spot at the top of the leader board. This couldn’t happen two years in a row, could it? I mean, there are 705 teams and some of them REALLY seem to know what they’re doing. Let’s just remind ourselves that even Phil has limits to his powers, even he has injuries that affect his team, and maybe – just maybe – he won’t be in first place overall next week (gulp).

League of Legends

In addition, we’ll follow the individual league races this season. It is no small feat to win a league championship in the Main Event regardless of a fantasy owner’s overall place, and the top three in each league earn a cash prize and deserve recognition. You can see the 47 leagues listed in the chart below – along with the top three in the standings as of Monday morning.

NFBC League Number LEADER League Points 2nd PLACE League Points 3rd PLACE League Points
#934 Doug Moe 118.5 Matthew Shepherd 98.0 Jason Anthony 97.0
#935 Marc Winokur 100.0 Scott Waggener 98.0 Mark Srebro 97.0
#943 Eric Heberlig 108.5 Curt Hills 100.5 Alan Mitchell 93.0
#1026 Jeff Erickson & Tim Schuler 108.5 Jody Ryan 99.5 John Pausma 96.5
#1027 Jason Gill 113.5 Michael Govier 106.5 Scott Jenstad 98.5
#1028 Jacob Halusker 106.0 James Milkowski 105.0 Zachary Waxman 103.0
#1029 Ken Magner 105.5 Donald Warner 102.0 Matt Modica 96.5
#1030 Zach Bettencourt 99.0 Douglas Roth 98.5 Ryan Faye 96.5
#1031 Jon Stadtmueller 100.0 Tim Lilly 99.0 Daniel Prepas 98.5
#1032 Keith Tonsager 115.0 Don Benson 103.5 Dave McDonald & Tony DiVincenzo 102.0
#1034 Andrew Geller 117.0 Rian Lange 108.0 Robert Cramutola 94.0
#1132 Eric Heberlig 115.5 TIE: Jin Chun 100.5 TIE: Marc Fleisher 100.5
#1143 Greg Lathrop 116.5 James Anderson & Todd Whitestone 102.0 Curtis Jones 97.0
#1192 Erik Schmollinger 105.0 Douglas Gruber 101.5 Christopher Vaccaro 99.0
#1221 Mike Duggan 114.0 Marc Fleisher 111.5 Eric Heberlig 102.0
#1226 Mike Massotto 123.5 Michael Garcia 110.0 Doug Cassidy 92.5
#1228 John Pausma 107.0 TIE: William Perry 94.0 TIE:Charles Sommer 94.0
#1233 Jon Stadtmueller 101.0 Steve Brunn 95.0 Steve Heisman 93.5
#1236 Russell Withers 107.5 Bradley Libros 101.5 Thomas Warner 94.5
#1244 Douglas Gruber 130.5 Scott Sakiyama 94.0 Ryan Welborn 93.5
#1260 Vince Clemente 117.5 Jason Aberli 116.0 Christopher Cosley 115.0
#1263 Chris Uram 119.0 Ryan Welborn 102.0 Eric Heberlig 101.0
#1264 Ryan Rufe 107.5 Vlad Sedler 106.0 Brian Edwards 100.0
#1265 Tyler Jung 119.5 Wayne Edwards 101.5 Aaron Jones 99.5
#1287 Eric Price 115.5 Bob Catsiroumpas 96.0 Aaron Lawson 91.5
#1292 Chris Fessler 125.5 Uttam Rath 106.5 Griffin Benger 102.5
#1294 Carl Kunda 111.0 Stephen Fiore 101.5 Eric Karlovic 93.5
#1297 Richard Briskin 123.0 Kevin Kirves 101.5 TIE: Zach Bettencourt & Beau Reid 96.0
#1304 Herb Eroh 108.5 Bryan Fitzgerald 106.5 Jeff Campbell 105.5
#1306 KC Cha 111.5 Eric Heberlig 101.0 Jeff Mitseff 97.5
#1318 Emmett Ruland 102.5 David Lightfoot 97.5 TIE: Alan Mitchell & Abdulaziz Madani 96.5
#1319 Scott Feschuk 100.5 Bob Casale 100.0 Abdulaziz Madani 92.5
#1320 Gary Allen 116.0 Philippe Dussault 109.5 Eric Heberlig 102.5
#1321 Bradley Beckman 119.5 Gary Allen 107.0 Andrew Sullivan 103.0
#1322 Vlad Sedler 109.0 Jeff Mitseff 106.0 John Lymberis 98.0
#1331 William McAleer 118.0 Robert DiPietro 113.5 Bradley Libros 103.5
#1332 Chris Read 126.0 Leonard Ringle 108.0 Mike Gumbel 87.0
#1363 Matthew McDonough 101.5 Paul Hong 98.0 TIE: Scott Davis & Bradley Libros 94.5
#1364 Chris Fessler 104.0 Stephen Jupinka 99.5 Geoffrey Stein 98.5
#1365 Craig Clarke 102.5 Scott Waggener 100.0 Scott Jenstad 99.5
#1366 Jeff Mitseff 105.0 Danny Bronski 97.0 Les Travis 96.5
#1371 Brian Slack 121.0 Hunter Dorbandt 108.5 P McD 105.5
#1402 Abdulaziz Madani 111.5 Joe Kruk 102.0 Shawn Childs 100.0
#1405 Michael Secor 113.0 Matt Modica 103.0 William McAleer 95.5
#1408 Ronny Mor 103.0 Eric Heberlig 94.5 Charles Kieta 93.0
#1511 Scott Fleming 129.5 Beau Reid 126.0 Mike Ballscmiede 104.0
#1524 Chet Kresge 114.5 Marc Perlmutter 103.0 TIE: Alan Gellin & Kareem Yostos 94.0
Average 1st Place Score 112.1 Average 2nd Place Score 103.0 Average 3rd Place Score 98.0

 

I’m offering special shout-outs to some of the league leaders – basketball legend Doug Moe; Famed Colorado Native Marc WInokur; general “all-over-the-leaderboard” Eric Heberlig;, Rotowire tag-team members Jeff Erickson and Tim Schuler; star fantasy owners Zach Bettencourt, Jon Stadtmueller and Andrew Geller; Rotowire writer extraordinaire Ryan Rufe; outstanding players Tyler Jung, Chris Fessler, and Greg Lathrop; Fantasy Legends KC Cha, Vlad Sedler, Emmett Ruland, Abdulaziz Madani and Jeff Mitseff; and my favorite target for this article Brian Slack! But ALL of the fantasy owners leading their league or in the top three positions are doing well – congratulations to them – but they must remember that it’s only April 18th – a lot can and will happen in the next 5 1/2 months to be sure.

And as Mick would tell any of them who asked – it’s really tough to achieve BATisfaction!

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Todd Whitestone

Todd Whitestone

Writer for SPstreamer.com focusing on the NFBC Main Event

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