Brandon Lowe’s Exit Velocity
Last night’s exit velocity leaders in order: Giancarlo Stanton, Juan Soto, Juan Soto, Eloy Jimenez, and Brandon Lowe. Brandon Lowe made the top five by hitting a ball 112.2 MPH. This is his hardest-hit ball since 2019 and I think if this tells you anything, this shows that his 39 home runs last season were no fluke. While these numbers are due to regress over time since he only has 22 plate appearances, his ISO, SLG, and Hard Hit% are all up compared to last season. What I am trying to say here is Lowe’s power is here to stay.
Swing and Misses
Your swing and misses leaders:
Jesus Luzardo (18)
Tylor Megill (16)
Daniel Lynch (15)
Andrew Heaney (15)
Chad Kuhl (14)
Let’s Talk About Popular Pitching Sleepers
Tylor Megill was a well-known sleeper throughout the fantasy baseball community. When the Mets traded for Chris Bassitt things looked bleak in terms of playing time but they quickly cleared up once Jacob deGrom went down in spring training. I talked about him in our streamer of the day article so I will just reiterate it here as well. Tylor Megill, our streamer of the day, cruised through the Philadelphia Phillies offense. Megill pitched 5.1 innings allowing zero runs and striking out five. I said this on Twitter and I will say it again. I’m no scout, yes I am a Mets fan, and yes Megill has only pitched in two starts but Megill looks like an Ace. He changed his delivery to mimic taller better pitchers like Zack Wheeler and he also reshaped his breaking ball. If he is somehow on your waiver wire, run. If he is obtainable, trade for him. I am fully bought in.
Jesus Luzardo has arrived everyone! Last night Luzardo finished his stellar season debut with 12 strikeouts, one earned run, 18 whiffs, and a 45% CSW rate. His four-seam velocity was up 1.7 MPH overall and it averaged 97.6 MPH while topping out at 99.2 MPH. I of course watched this start because how could you not? He looked very good. He was in complete control of his body as well as his command and is a must-start moving forward.
In the same game, we saw Patrick Sandoval take the mound for the Los Angeles Angels. Patrick certainly impressed as well as he pitched four innings allowing zero earned runs while striking out six. He was a bit erratic at times and walked three hitters in the outing but he did also strike out the side in the first inning. I think once he gets his command under control we will see some really great starts from him. Overall he finished with 13 whiffs and a 30% CSW rate.
Andrew Heaney was deemed by many as the next Robbie Ray. I will say I had and still have my reservations because Heaney has always had potential but never lived up to the hype. He also is quite injury-prone. In this start, Heaney pitched 4.1 innings with zero earned runs and five strikeouts. He introduced his new sweeping slider that is currently being labeled as a curveball and last night he was able to induce nine whiffs with the pitch. Overall, he looked good but he went heavy on just two pitches so hopefully, that doesn’t burn him down the line. I am cautiously optimistic.
Andrés Giménez showed some bright spots when he got the call from the New York Mets in 2020 and once he was traded to the Guardians in 2021 many thought he could bring some fantasy value to the table. Unfortunately last season he hit just .218 with a 73 wRC+ flat-out disappointing all fantasy baseball managers. Andrés Giménez is intriguing because he could easily hit 15 home runs with 15 stolen bases while not hurting your average. So far this season he seems to be hitting the ball better. In 13 plate appearances, he is hitting .308 with one home run and a 179 wRC+. He could be on your waiver wire and is well worth taking a shot on.
Luis Robert has been on fire to start the season and is leaving fantasy baseball managers drooling over their desks. Kind of like what I am doing right now. In four games Robert is hitting .375 with one home run and a .412 OBP. But what’s most important is his steals. He has four steals already on the season. If Robert stays healthy he could be a beast and steal the hearts of all fantasy managers.
The Struggling Kelenic
It’s early I know, but right now all we can do is react to what we are seeing. Jarred Kelenic does not look good. At all. Kelenic struggled last season hitting just .181 with 14 home runs and a 73 wRC+ in 377 plate appearances. This season he has 17 plate appearances, is hitting 0.67, has a -15 wRC+, and worst of all, he holds a 52.9% strikeout rate. He needs to turn it around fast because if he doesn’t he could be headed back down to AAA.
Seiya The Great
Seiya Suzuki baby! The dude has been crushing it so far! Last night against the Pirates Suzuki went two for four with two home runs and two RBI. If you belong to our Discord you probably have him on your team since he is an SPS darling thanks to Drew Wheeler. Overall so far this season Suzuki is hitting .417 with three home runs, eight RBI, and a 331 wRC+. Wow.
Tough Times Ahead?
Shane Bieber faced off against the Reds yesterday and pitched through 5.1 innings allowing three earned runs with five strikeouts. The big issue here is once again the velocity. For the second start in a row, Bieber’s velocity is down big time and it’s down on every single pitch. While he isn’t pitching necessarily bad, he just isn’t pitching good enough per his draft capital. In his start yesterday he only had eight whiffs and a 25 CSW%. You want more from Bieber. Right now I would wait for one more start and see if anything changes, if it doesn’t I would be selling.
I was hoping we’d get positive signs from Shane Bieber today. We did not.
– Velo still down two ticks
– Curveball still down over 400 rpm
It’s just like opening day. pic.twitter.com/gPrXutm8A9
— Nick Pollack (@PitcherList) April 12, 2022