Exit Velocity Readings
Last night’s exit velocity leaders in order: George Springer, Giancarlo Stanton (shocker), Maikel Franco, Joey Bart, and Anthony Santander. Nothing too much to note here as they were all relatively typical and around the 110 MPH range.
Rafael Devers went two for four yesterday with a double but most notably he had three batted balls over 100 MPH and is now hitting .313 on the season. Devers continues to be a stud.
Chad Pinder had himself quite the game as he went two for five with two runs, a home run, and one RBI. The craziest part is the fact that he had four batted balls over 96 MPH and three over 100 MPH. Wild. I kind of like Pinder in deeper formats and I have a few shares in draft and holds, dude is going to get playing time.
George Springer went three for five with a home run and three RBI against the Yankees yesterday. He had four hard-hit balls over 99 MPH. Stay healthy.
Maikel Franco hit the ball extremely well yesterday against the Braves. He went four for five with a home run and five RBI, he also had four hard-hit balls over 97 MPH. I would be interested but Franco tends to do this every season. He gets hot and then cools off. Add for now but the second he cools off I would be dropping.
Swing and Misses
Your swing and misses leaders:
Jameson Taillon (17)
Alek Manoah (16)
Michael Lorenzen (14)
Nick Martinez (13)
Taylor Hearn (12)
Oh No Aaron
Aaron Civale had a disappointing day against the Kansas City Royals. He lasted just 3.1 innings giving up two runs, three walks, and four hits. I watched this start, he did not look good and now I know why. His velocity was down big time and he finished with just a 26% CSW rate. Keep an eye on this because he is either hurt or this is a serious issue.
Kwan Stays Hot
Steven Kwan has been the talk of the town because of how good he has been hitting. Yesterday he went one for three with two walks, three RBI, and two runs. According to Yahoo! he is currently ranked as the eighth-best player in fantasy. In his small sample of 19 plate appearances, he is hitting .692 with a .789 OBP *mind blown gesture*. This is what Kwan can do and has done in the minors as he has an amazing hit tool and fantastic plate discipline.
Keep Watch On Anthony Santander
Anthony Santander was a popular sleeper amongst the fantasy baseball community coming into the 2021 season. It was because he showed some real power potential in the 2020 shortened season where hitting over 30 home runs seemed like a possibility for him. In 2021 he was hit with injury after injury and now here we are, Santander is available on the wire in 12-team league formats. Again, we are playing with small samples here but so far Santander is hitting .500 in four games and has an EV higher than Freddie Freeman. I will admit the EV overall isn’t crazy high but it is top 35 in the league which leaves me intrigued.
We Have A Pitch Mix Change To Watch
So, uh, Paul Blackburn dominated the Rays pitching five innings with zero earned runs and seven strikeouts. Seven. He finished with a 38 CSW% and notched 12 whiffs with five coming from the curveball. Two things happened here. 1) His sinker was up a full MPH and had a 38 CSW%. Awesome. 2) He changed his pitch mix compared to last season as he threw his curveball more than any other pitch. Why is this significant? Last season his curveball had a 19.3 SwStr%, a 65 wRC+ against, and a 39.3 O-Swing%. It was by far his best pitch and now he is throwing it a ton. Super interesting and definitely worth a speculative add.
Impressed by Taillon
Jameson Taillon had an up and down season in 2021 and it always came down to his fastball. Last night his four-seam was rocking! It induced nine whiffs and six called strikes resulting in a 42 CSW%. Taillon has one of the best fastballs in the league when he is throwing it right. Looking at his illustrator he really focused on throwing it towards the top of the zone and this is everything we wanted. Consistency is key for him.
Two Pitchers To Add
We have talked about this a lot not only in the preseason but also in a recent What You Need To Know article. Now is the time to take shots on small samples with starting pitchers. You never know who is going to break out and every season a pitcher comes out of nowhere and becomes a game-changer. Pitchers like Carlos Rodon.
Michael Lorenzen (my boy) pitched fantastically against the Miami Marlins. He worked through six innings allowing one run and striking out seven. For those who weren’t around last season, I was all over Lorenzen and had the pleasure of having him on my podcast. He works insanely hard and is flat-out just an awesome guy. Unfortunately, he got hurt and his chance to be a starter closed with the Reds. This season though, he got his chance and he didn’t disappoint.
In his start, we saw Lorenzen throw his sinker 31% of the time meanwhile it was his fifth option last season. This could be game-planning but is interesting enough to keep note of. The start overall seems legit as he finished with a 30 CSW% while also inducing 14 whiffs. The changeup looked filthy as it was swung at five times and each time it resulted in a whiff. Again, he is a speculative add but one that could pan out.
Nick Martinez was fantastic as well. In his start against the Giants, he pitched five innings allowing one earned run while producing six strikeouts. His pitch plot makes me very happy as he utilized the cutter and changeup perfectly on opposite sides of the plate. He had wonderful command on the four-seam hitting the edges often and it also has a solid velocity differential from the changeup. Overall he finished with 13 whiffs and a 40% CSW rate. I really like what he did here and I would be adding him in all formats.